Nevada’s unemployment rate increased for the fourth straight month to 5.6 percent in September. According to data released on Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor statistics, Nevada’s unemployment rate is the second highest in the nation behind Washington DC. The average national jobless rate is 4.1 percent.
Among the seven battleground states, Nevada has the highest jobless rate followed by Michigan at 4.5 percent.
According to a variety of polls, the primary concern of Silver State voters is the economy, followed by the southern border. When combined with the unemployment numbers, these top concerns of swing state voters could spell trouble for Vice President Kamala Harris and running mate Tim Walz.
Although Harris has touted the Biden-Harris administration’s record on job creation, the data from the August jobs report shows that U.S.-born workers lost more than 1.3 million jobs, while foreign-born workers gained over 1.2 million jobs.
As Harris touts an “opportunity economy” that will build on the “aspirations and dreams of the American people,” the platitudes fall short on specific policies that voters can identify for immediate job creation.
As the hospitality industry drives the Nevada economy, Trump first proposed his “No Tax on Tips” policy in Las Vegas last June. In August, Harris followed, with conditions.
Additionally, if the 2017 Trump tax cuts are allowed to expire in 2025, Nevadans will be hit the hardest. In 2017, then-Senator Kamala Harris voted against the Trump Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. As the presidential nominee in 2020, Harris pledged to scrap them, saying the U.S. should “get rid of the whole thing,” according to Bloomberg.
Recent Tax Foundation data shows that Nevada would be one of the most negatively impacted states if the law expires. Out of 3,143 counties analyzed, Douglas County in Northern Nevada will receive the fifth highest average tax increase (4.6 percent), neighboring Washoe County would receive the 21st highest average tax increase (3.7 percent), and Clark County breaks the top 100 with an average tax increase of 3 percent.
As latino voters make up nearly 20 percent of Nevada’s electorate, polls show that President Donald Trump is gaining ground within this demographic. According to a Nobel Predictive Insights’ poll, Harris leads with latino voters by a mere three percent, signaling the race to the White House is a dead heat among likely voters.
Down the ballot, the U.S. Senate race is also heating up.
A recent Rasmussen/American Thinker poll shows a seven-point shift towards retired U.S. Army Captain Sam Brown in the race to control the U.S. Senate. The poll taken prior to the debate between Brown and Senator Jacky Rosen (D-NV) shows Rosen has lost three points since September, with Brown gaining four points in just one month. The latest survey shows Rosen with a narrow three-point lead, 47 percent to 44 percent, and within the margin of error. In September, Rosen enjoyed a comfortable 10-point lead.
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