Polling Shows ‘Harris Is In Trouble In Nevada’

The Daily Caller News Foundation (DCNF) highlighted Nevada in a piece featuring a bipartisan group of election experts from around the country and found that polling and the economy may spell trouble in the swing state for Vice President Kamala Harris.

DCNF reports:

“There are very few paths to victory that do not involve Nevada,” Dheeraj Chand, a Democratic strategist, told the DCNF.

“It would be a big blow to her when we take those electoral votes,” McLaughlin told the DCNF.

“One of the particularly interesting things about it is it’s the only state that President Trump lost twice,” Jeremy Hughes, a GOP strategist based in Nevada, told the DCNF. “Now, he has a chance to flip it this cycle.”

“President Trump’s emphasis on helping Americans keep more of their hard-earned money, from no tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, and no taxes on overtime work, is resonating with voters across our state,” NVGOP Chairman Michael McDonald told the DCNF. “As Nevadans look to the future, they are increasingly turning to President Trump’s economic policies as the solution to getting ahead, not just getting by.”

“When the country gets a cold, Nevada gets the flu,” Hughes told the DCNF. “Everything is economic. Everything on the economy hurts more in Nevada, and people will remember how the economy was when President Trump was in office.”

“The reason why Kamala Harris is doing her Univision town hall in Vegas is precisely because we’re doing so well with Latino voters,’ John McLaughlin, a Trump campaign pollster and CEO of McLaughlin & Associates, told the DCNF. “Harris is in trouble in Nevada.”

As latino voters make up nearly 20% of the electorate, polls show that President Donald Trump is gaining ground within this demographic. According to a Nobel Predictive Insights’ poll, Harris leads with latino voters by a mere three percent, signaling the race to the White House is a dead heat among likely voters.

Voter registration totals provided by the Nevada Secretary of State indicate a significant increase in independent voters and an equally significant decrease in Democratic voters. Of the approximate 2.8 million registered voters in the battleground state, 820,386 are independent, 713,789 are democrat, and 667,542 are republican.

With the Nevada economy still rebounding after former democratic Governor Steve Sisolak shut down the economy during the pandemic, “Bidenflation” has hit the pocketbooks of Nevadans the hardest.

According to Consumer Price Index data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Joint Economic Committee (JEC) estimates that Nevada households are paying an extra $1,175 on basic household goods and services. Cumulatively, the average Nevada household is spending $32,554 more due to inflation since January 2021. The cumulative inflation rate in Nevada is 21.8 percent, which is 1.5 percent higher than the national average.

As the hospitality industry drives the Nevada economy, Trump first proposed his “No Tax on Tips” policy in Las Vegas last June. In August, Harris followed.

Additionally, if the 2017 Trump tax cuts are allowed to expire in 2025, Nevadans will be hit the hardest.

Recent Tax Foundation data shows that Nevada would be one of the most negatively impacted states if the law expires. Out of 3,143 counties analyzed, Douglas County in Northern Nevada will receive the fifth highest average tax increase (4.6%), neighboring Washoe County would receive the 21st highest average tax increase (3.7%), and Clark County breaks the top 100 with an average tax increase of 3 percent.

In 2017, then-Senator Kamala Harris voted against the Trump Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. As the presidential nominee in 2020, Harris pledged to scrap them, saying the U.S. should “get rid of the whole thing,” according to Bloomberg.

Multiple polls suggest that Harris and Trump are in a heated race for Nevada’s six electoral votes, something a republican presidential candidate has not done since 2008. Former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and President Joe Biden defeated Trump by 2.4 points in 2016 and 2020, respectively.